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Washington is the puppetmaster, which controls both the military machine as well as Egypt’s civil society opposition. The terms of “negotiation” between the representatives of the protest movement and the military have already been determined in Washington DC.
The US funded civil society and youth organizations have betrayed the grassroots movement.
The modern-day neo-colonial powers maintain control over Arab countries through the supervision of their economies and the control of their political leaders, who serve their vassal interests. Thus, 2011 is not only the start of the second wave of Arab revolt against foreign rule via imposed dictators and corrupt regimes, it is also part of a braoder struggle against neo-colonialism.
First, the U.S. might struck Saudi Arabia eliminating Arabian oil, closing the Persian Gulf and the Suez Canal for everyone. They could also provoke a Turkish-Kurdish war. This would cut off the southern oil and gas transit to the EU. The U.S. could also sponsor a new civil war in Algeria and Nigeria, organize a new revolution in Ukraine and a new Ukrainian-Russian “gas war.”
From George Bush’s Freedom Strategy to Obama’s Islamic policy, Washington has pursued a dual approach in the turbulent region: supporting military-based alliances with authoritarian regimes; while urging popular agitation for free and fair elections. The intention was to use democracy protests as a coercive tool to prod authoritarian regimes into cooperating with America’s strategic designs, but now the unimaginable has happened – democracy is winning.
All these events could be preparations for the energy war. This would be a totally new type of war!
A theory developed by the Open Reserch and Discussion Center “Global Adventure” points out that in early or mid-2011 the U.S. might switch to the active phase of an energy war. The following are the possible stages of the energy war:
First, the U.S. might struck Saudi Arabia eliminating Arabian oil, closing the Persian Gulf and the Suez Canal for everyone. They could also provoke a Turkish-Kurdish war. This would cut off the southern oil and gas transit to the EU. The U.S. could also sponsor a new civil war in Algeria and Nigeria, organize a new revolution in Ukraine and a new Ukrainian-Russian “gas war.”
While the uprisings spreading across the Arab world have surprised many observers, the same could not be said for the American foreign policy and strategic establishment. A popular backlash against American-supported dictatorships and repressive regimes has been anticipated for a number of years, with arch-hawk geopolitical strategist Zbigniew Brzezinski articulating a broad conception of a ‘Global Political Awakening’ taking place, in which the masses of the world (predominantly the educated, exploited and impoverished youth of the ‘Third World’) have become acutely aware of their subjugation, inequality, exploitation and oppression.
The template for such covert regime change has been developed by the Pentagon, US intelligence agencies and various think-tanks such as RAND Corporation over decades, beginning with the May 1968 destabilization of the de Gaulle presidency in France. This is the first time since the US-backed regime changes in Eastern Europe some two decades back that Washington has initiated simultaneous operations in many countries in a region. It is a strategy born of a certain desperation and one not without significant risk for the Pentagon and for the long-term Wall Street agenda. What the outcome will be for the peoples of the region and for the world is as yet unclear.
The US has been seeking to play a complex game amidst these developments, which it did not anticipate and cannot control. The realistic assessment of the Obama administration, thus far, is that the democratic trend is probably irreversible, so the goal becomes how to orchestrate a transition without endangering “stability” in the region as a whole.
Yesterday, the Los Angeles Times reported:
The Pentagon is moving U.S. warships and other military assets to make sure it is prepared in case evacuation of U.S. citizens from Egypt becomes necessary, officials said Friday.
The Kearsarge, an amphibious assault ship carrying 700 to 800 troops from the 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit, and the Ponce have arrived in the Red Sea, putting them off Egypt’s shores in case the situation worsens.
Pentagon officials emphasized that military intervention in Egypt was not being contemplated and that the warships were being moved only for contingency purposes in case evacuations became necessary.
The United States, so far, is essentially following the usual playbook. I mean, there have been many times when some favored dictator has lost control or is in danger of losing control. There’s a kind of a standard routine—Marcos, Duvalier, Ceausescu, strongly supported by the United States and Britain, Suharto: keep supporting them as long as possible; then, when it becomes unsustainable—typically, say, if the army shifts sides—switch 180 degrees, claim to have been on the side of the people all along, erase the past, and then make whatever moves are possible to restore the old system under new names. That succeeds or fails depending on the circumstances.